Web Desk
World’s leading ratings agency Fitch has revised its outlook on Pakistan to negative from stable, due to the deteriorating external liquidity position and financing conditions as well as the risks from the political uncertainty.
Fitch, however, affirmed the country’s Long-Term Foreign-Currency (LTFC) Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at “B-“.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) board is likely to approve a resumption in bailout payments, it said, but added there were considerable risks to the programme’s implementation and to Pakistan’s access to external finances after June 2023.
Ratings agency Moody’s has already changed Pakistan’s outlook to negative from stable on June 2.
The South Asian country faces economic turmoil, with fast depleting foreign reserves, a declining currency and widening fiscal and current account deficits.
The Pakistani rupee fell heavily against the US dollar, losing nearly 6 rupees on Tuesday to 122 per dollar in interbank trading.
Similarly, the Pakistan Stock Exchange Ltd KSE100 Index fell 978 points or -2.36% to close at 40,389.07 level on Tuesday, its website showed.
The rupee is especially under pressure from the falling reserves and delay in foreign inflows from the IMF and other sources.
Reserves have fallen to as low as $9.8 billion, hardly enough to pay for 45 days of imports.
Fitch said the political volatility could undermine the fiscal and external adjustment, especially in the environment of slowing economic growth and high inflation, which stood at 21.3% in June.
State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) has already pushed policy interest rates to 15%. It forecasts gross domestic product growth in the 2022-23 financial year at between 3% and 4%, less than the government’s budget estimate of 5%.
The IMF reached a staff-level agreement with the PML-N-led government last week to pave the way for disbursement of $1.17 billion. If this is approved by the board, the scope of the original $6 billion bailout agreed in 2019 will rise to $7 billion
